Visualizing The Market's Parabolic Rise

January 29, 2013 - 2:21pm
For many the rise of nominal equity prices over the past few years has been remarkable given the back-drop of stagnating growth and joblessness. But it is the last few months that perhaps beggars belief as macro fundamentals plunge to 5-month lows, consumer confidence to 13-month lows, and earnings show considerable weakness (if you look at the data and ignore the anecdotes); and yet, day-after-day, stocks push higher little-by-little, stop-run by stop-run to five-year highs. The chart below suggests, though, that for now the parabola may need a little pullback before gathering steam once again. The parabolic rise has hit its upside (which has tended to mean a pullback in the past)... As Macro fundamentals hit 5-month lows... and earnings disappoint... and confidence plunges... Charts: Bloomberg
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