History of how the Dow traded when it crossed 1,000 then 10,000. 20,000 next.

Jan 6 2:44pm Virtue of Selfish Investing Market Lab Reports and Newsletters
Jesse Livermore spoke about the century mark in stocks. When a stock crosses 100, if it can do so with sufficient buying pressure, it is liable to continue significantly higher. The same applies to major market averages. The Dow Industrials has been teasing everyone over the last month as it continues to stall just before its 20,000 mark. It has done so a number of times today, coming just 0.37 points shy of the 20,000 mark. Indeed, some market participants may be attempting to manipulate the markets. Today we share two other milestones in the Dow Industrials.  Back in March 1999, the Dow c...
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3

No one talks about Eurobonds anymore. Heres why

Jan 6 8:38am Credit Writedowns Pro
Eurobonds are one way of tying the fortunes of eurozone countries together by eliminating - or at least greatly reducing - default risk. The thinking is that if you have a common currency and free labour movement and you still don’t have economic convergence you need to go further in uniting Europe politically and economically. No one is talking about eurobonds though. That’s because they won’t happen.
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Buy The Rumor, Sell The News

Jan 6 8:34am The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors
The old investing adage “Buy the rumor, sell the news” comes to mind following the “Trump Rally” to end 2016. As we all know, President-Elect Trump has not yet been sworn into office and yet, the year-end climb in US markets has been mostly attributed to his policy proposals. This makes sense as the market is always forward-looking, but it is important to keep in mind that it often overshoots in the near term. As a prime example, the chart below shows the relative performance of the Utilities sector against the S&P 500 in the three months before (left) and after (right) the tw...
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7

The Self-taught Trader How To Trade Forex Without Limits

Jan 6 12:14am zentrader.ca | trend analysis
By Mirjana Pupovac Each profession needs its fair share of practice, expertise and knowledge to be able to succeed in the field. Without holding the any credentials, you would find it extremely difficult to be employed in full or part time work; making it extremely difficult to supplement your income in an adequate way.  Trading currency pairs online […]...
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Buybacks Decline In Q3 2016, But Cash At Record Level

Jan 5 8:44pm The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors
At the end of December S&P Dow Jones Indices reported information on S&P 500 buybacks and dividends for Q3 2016. The preliminary report noted quarter over quarter buybacks decline 12\% and year over year buybacks fell 25.5\%. The continued decline in buybacks may be a result of companies retaining cash due to the uncertainty surrounding the November election. Dividends were up fractionally QOQ and up 3.5\% on a YOY basis. However, in spite of the decline in buybacks, Howard Silverblatt of S&P Global noted, cash reserves also set a new record for the third consecutive quarter, as...
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1

Maintaining motivation - Adam H Grimes

Jan 5 1:17pm Adam Grimes
It’s that time of the year again: resolutions are made, gym memberships bought, diet plans laid out, major projects are started—the whole time, everyone knowing that all these plans are doomed for failure. Why do we fail so consistently on these New Year’s resolutions that it has become a cultural joke? Because we don’t account […] The post Maintaining motivation appeared first on Adam H Grimes. Related posts: The hardest words to say Reader question: how to not blow yourself up. Pattern interrupts can help. Patience… patience...
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2

GBPAUD Buy Opportunity After a Breakout and Correction

Jan 5 11:51am Vladimir Ribakov
GBPAUD buy opportunity looks very positive at the moment. I am following this pair, looking for good buy setups. We go for the conservative entry.  We wait for this pair to break above the last high, then wait for a correction and last step is to buy. GBPAUD H1 Chart: Target 1 – Risk:reward 1;2 Target2 – 1.7600 SL – Below 1.68   Yours, Vladimir The post GBPAUD Buy Opportunity After a Breakout and Correction appeared first on Vladimir Ribakov.
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2017 Annual Market Forecast Video

Jan 5 7:56am Vladimir Ribakov
Hi traders! We are about to return to our normal trading schedule very soon. Thus it is time for the 2017 Annual Market Forecast video. I’m sure many of you will find great trading opportunities and what to expect in terms of general market direction during the year. If you have any questions, please share them below in the comment section and I will be happy to get back to you as soon as possible! Wishing you an amazing 2017, lots of pips and happy moments with your families and friends. — If you like it, share it! — Yours, The post 2017 Annual Market Forecast Video appeare...
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Using The Metal Markets to Forecast The Direction of Interest Rates

Jan 5 6:30am
In a recent podcast interview with Tim Ferriss, Adam Robinson mentioned an interesting observation about interest rates. Adam is the co-founder of The Princeton Review, a chess master and  an advisor to several hedge funds and investment managers. Adam mentioned that one of Continue reading Using The Metal Markets to Forecast The Direction of Interest Rates→ The post Using The Metal Markets to Forecast The Direction of Interest Rates appeared first on .
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10 ways to be a terrible investor in 2017

Jan 5 4:43am Monevator
Losing money investing isn't as easy as it was in the good old days of commission-based brokers, 5\% upfront charges, and no cheap tracker funds...
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2016 Not Missing You Already

Jan 5 3:55am Wexboy
Yes, it’s that time of year again… But I must confess mixed feelings – for me, a year-end review’s just …Continue reading →...
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VIX ETPs Flash Some Green in 2016

Jan 4 3:59pm VIX and More
Last year I shocked quite a few investors and media outlets with the publication of Every Single VIX ETP (Long and Short) Lost Money in 2015.  My intent was not to tar and feather the VIX exchange-traded products landscape, but to highlight the fact that in an environment characterized by sharp VIX spikes and other volatility extremes, the power of volatility compounding price decay can overwhelm both long and inverse ETPs.  In sharp contrast to across-the-board losses in 2015, the performance of VIX ETPs in 2016 was much more balanced and in line with historical norms.  While t...
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1

Biotechnology Stocks Showing Strong Move To The Upside

Jan 4 2:46pm RTT - Mkt/Sector Trends
Biotechnology stocks are turning in some of the market's best performances during trading on Wednesday, resulting in a 3.7 percent jump by the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index.
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GBPCAD Buy Opportunity After A Trend Line Breakout?

Jan 4 10:55am Vladimir Ribakov
I am following this pair GBPCAD, we are looking to buy. GBPCAD H4 Chart: The red trend line from the lows, we might get a false break. Then we are looking for a breakout above the blue dashed line (bearish trend line). We can go long with the breakout. GBPCAD H1 Chart: Target 1 – Risk:reward 1;2 Target 2 – 1.7100 SL – Few pips below last low (before the trend line breakout)   Yours, Vladimir   The post GBPCAD Buy Opportunity After A Trend Line Breakout? appeared first on Vladimir Ribakov.
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EURNZD Buy Idea

Jan 4 7:41am Vladimir Ribakov
I am following this pair EURNZD. Expect a False Break + Bullish Divergence + Convergence. Look for 2 waves down on H4/H1 to go long. EURNZD D1 Chart: EURNZD H1 Chart: Scenario 1 – Wait for another push down, false break and MACD tick up (to complete bullish divergence). There is a H4 cycle ending at this zone, H4 bullish trend line and very strong horizontal support. (Note that for the cycle count we have ignored the spike in this case). Target zone 1 – Pure risk:reward of 1:2 depending on your entry and SL Target zone 2 – 1.5220 The post EURNZD Buy Idea appeared first on Vl...
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Personal Loan Options: Demystifying Peer-to- Peer Lending

Jan 4 4:11am zentrader.ca | trend analysis
By Newt Felix If you are in the market looking to buy a personal loan, it is highly likely that you have come across myriad options. With the advent of the internet, there is more information flow and consumers now have even more choices of loans. Whether you are looking for a secured or unsecured loan, there […]...
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2 New Trades ($MSFT, $TZOO, $TRIP, $YELP)

Jan 4 2:00am Intelligent Speculator
Today I am opening my trades #3 and #4. As is always the case, you can see past 2016 (and previous years) trades here: http://www.intelligentspeculator.net/livetrades Let’s start off by looking at the numbers: And the usual chart that I like to bring up: In many ways, this is a bet on a reversal of what happened […]...
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Predicting the top stocks for 2017 is futile

Jan 3 4:44pm Virtue of Selfish Investing Market Lab Reports and Newsletters
Summary Trying to predict the future is futile. This includes trying to pick the top stocks for any given year. Legendary stock trader William O'Neil of whom we were key disciples always said in news interviews he had no idea where the market would be in the future. Legendary futures trader Ed Seykota always has said the future does not exist so why try to predict it?  The Dumbest Question In Investing Is Probably, What Is The Market Going To Do? The future does not exist, so we do not try to predict it. The same goes for picking which stocks will do well in 2017 since many thing...
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4

Winter 2016 Investor Letter: Rising Confidence And The Populist Movement

Jan 3 4:01pm The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors
In our Fall 2016 Investor Letter we discussed how emotions tend to run high around certain periods like the recent U.S. election. We noted in that newsletter that emotional investment decisions can drive investors to reduce their stock market exposure and harm long term returns. Certainly, the equity market performance following the the November election was one that strongly rewarded investors that stuck with their investment discipline.Our recently published Winter 2016 Investor Letter discusses the broad improvement in confidence that is showing up in a number of economic variables. The imp...
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1

Wiping Your Financial Slate Clean

Jan 3 2:17pm Investing Caffeine
This article is an excerpt from a previously released Sidoxia Capital Management complimentary newsletter (January 3, 2017). Subscribe on the right side of the page for the complete text. The page on the calendar has turned, and we now have a new year, and will shortly have a new president, and new economic policies. Although there […]...
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USDCAD False Break Sell Idea

Jan 3 11:39am Vladimir Ribakov
I expect a false break near the top of the channel. As long as last high holds we will be looking for shorts. USDCAD DI Chart: Once price enters the sell zone look for divergence and ideally a false break. Draw the most recent trend line and go short with the breakout. You can follow this setup on H4/H1. USDCAD H4 Chart: A bit more aggressive entry would be to try and sell the top of the short term range. Follow the most recent trend line (bullish one) and once broken down go short.   Yours, Vladimir The post USDCAD False Break Sell Idea appeared first on Vladimir Ribakov.
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NZDUSD Short Term Buy Setups

Jan 3 11:39am Vladimir Ribakov
Hi Traders, I’m following this NZDUSD, in the shorter term, we might be looking for buy setups for a few reasons. There is a D1 triple cycle completing itself at the moment and there is a bullish hidden divergence on the W1 chart. Price is near the bottom of the W1 channel. H1 buy setup   D1 bearish triple cycle:   Yours, Vladimir The post NZDUSD Short Term Buy Setups appeared first on Vladimir Ribakov.
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Give Yourself Room to Think

Jan 3 11:00am Behavior Gap
This is episode five of a series I’m doing on Below the Waterline Activities. If you have not listened to episode one, the introduction to this series, please go listen to it now so I don’t have to rehash a bunch of material. It will be worth your time. Go listen to it. The short version is, I’ve appointed myself vice President of unspeakable things to talk about some really important things that we need to address in our industry so that we can lower advisor burnout. So that you will be around mainly for the benefit of your clients, for the benefit of you too because I care about you, b...
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Market Lab Report - Premarket Pulse 1/3/17

Jan 3 9:19am Virtue of Selfish Investing Market Lab Reports and Newsletters
Major averages closed lower to end the year on higher but below average holiday volume. As we have written, at no time in history has this QE bubble ever deflated gently. This seems to be the market's biggest headwind for 2017. The US Federal Reserve is now on course to hike potentially three more times this year. After central banks have printed themselves into a monetary corner, the US Fed realizes they better start raising rates or they will have no fuel to resuscitate the economy from the next recession which could turn out to be far more serious. Since 1929, every bubble that burst due...
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The Slow and Steady passive portfolio update: Q4 2016

Jan 3 4:00am Monevator
The Slow & Steady passive portfolio leapt up by 25\% in the last year. So if you’re a passive investor who stuck to your mechanical guns then you’re probably feeling a lot better off now than back in January 2016. At that point our psyches were screeching like fingernails down a blackboard as the major world equity markets slid into […]...
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Equity Market Technicals Still Leaning Bullish

Jan 3 4:00am The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors
Yesterday I wrote that investor sentiment is broadly more bullish at the start of 2017 versus the beginning of 2016. Elevated bullish sentiment tends to be a contrarian indicator and can coincide with near term market tops. Now having noted the heightened sentiment measures, but shifting to a technical view of the market, some market excess has been worked off in the last few weeks of December with the S&P 500 Index down 1.4\% since December 13th.As the above chart shows, the late December weakness has created a bull flag formation during this two week period with the market trending lower.
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Tactical Asset Allocation in December

Jan 3 2:44am AllocateSmartly
This is a summary of the recent performance of a number of excellent tactical asset allocation strategies. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we don’t (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help […] The post Tactical Asset Allocation in December appeared first on AllocateSmartly.
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1

Arent cars supposed to be flying by now?

Jan 3 2:08am Glenn Chan's Random Notes on Investing
Predicting the future is hard.  Yet many people talk about self-driving cars as if they will become reality in a few years.  Unfortunately, the current reality is that we are far away from commercialization of fully self-driving cars.  Google is the closest, yet its self-driving car technology has some serious limitations: It requires an attentive […]...
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2 New Trades ($GOOG, $EBAY, $FB, $PYPL)

Jan 3 2:00am Intelligent Speculator
Today I am opening my first 2 trades of the year As you can imagine, it will be nice to start from scratch following a not great year of long & short trading in 2016!! As is always the case, you can see past 2016 (and previous years) trades here: http://www.intelligentspeculator.net/livetrades Let’s start off by […]...
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1

The 2016 VIX Futures Term Structure: Extraordinarily Average

Jan 2 8:07pm VIX and More
Two days ago, in The Year in VIX and Volatility (2016), I made no mention whatsoever of the VIX futuresterm structure.  Traders of the full range of VIX products (futures, options and ETPs) hopefully know by now that the entire VIX product landscape is based -- and priced -- off of VIX futures and one of the most important aspects of VIX futures is the shape of the term structure.Long story short:  as the graphic below shows, the 2016 VIX futures term structure (double red line) was closer to its historical average (wide gray line) than any prior year since the launch of VIX futures...
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1

Gold and Silver Outlook for January 3-6

Jan 2 8:00pm Trading NRG
Winter is coming but the markets are likely to heat up…and the same can be said about precious metals: Even though gold and silver will continue to face downward pressures — if the USD were to keep strengthening and yields…Read more →...
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1

Investor Sentiment More Bullish Than A Year Ago

Jan 2 2:44pm The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors
In 2015 investors had to contend with a very volatile equity market during the summer months. On August 24, 2015 the Dow fell 1,000 points intraday before closing down 588 points. This volatility extended into October with the end result, the S&P 500 Index was up only 1.4\% for all of 2015. This level of volatility and flat returns left investors anything but bullish going into 2016. As fate would have it, investors faced another market decline to begin 2016 as the S&P 500 Index fell 11.4\% before bottoming on February 11, 2016. Fast forward to the end of 2016, and after an equity market...
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Market Lab Report - Will the Fed cause a MAJOR CRASH by hiking rates again? Here's how you can profit when the next major correction comes.

Jan 2 1:31pm Virtue of Selfish Investing Market Lab Reports and Newsletters
In 1998 Wall Street bailed out the hedge fund Long Term Capital. In 2008 central banks bailed out Wall Street. Both times, the market crashed. The NASDAQ Composite lost -33\% in 1998 and about -50\% in 2008.  Fast forward to today. With interest rates near all-time lows in the HISTORY of the United States, who's going to bail out the central banks? Bubbles do not deflate gently. All bubbles burst. The sovereign debt QE bubble may be the mother of all bubbles. But do not fear. Members of VOSI reaped substantial profits during major market corrections with the Market Direction Model such as in...
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1

Charlie Munger on the Paradox in Hold vs. Buy Decisions in Long Term Investing

Jan 2 1:12pm Fundoo Professor
Ok, here’s a paradox for you, the long-term investor. You already know that owning, that is buying at reasonable prices and steadfastly holding on to good quality businesses, run by good quality managers is likely to be quite profitable over the long term. And so, based on this belief, you construct a portfolio of such […]...
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May Calls for Unity in 2017 as Divided U.K. Prepares for Brexit

Jan 2 10:26am Vladimir Ribakov
May Calls for Unity in 2017 as Divided U.K. Prepares for Brexit. Prime Minister Theresa May said opportunities for the U.K. are “greater than ever” and called for the country to unite in 2017 as she prepares to formally trigger two years of talks to withdraw Britain from the European Union. In a New Year’s message, the premier said she’ll bear in mind the interests of both the 52 percent of voters who backed Brexit and the 48 percent who opposed it when she negotiates a deal with her 27 EU counterparts. May quoted murdered opposition Labour Party lawmaker Jo The post May Calls for Uni...
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2

Closing Last Trade of 2016 (GOOG, EBAY)

Jan 2 2:00am Intelligent Speculator
As you can imagine, I’m not too upset about closing the door on 2016 long & short trading. I will be starting off fresh in the coming days but tomorrow morning when the market re-opens, I will be closing off the final trade of the year, which is slightly up: Long Alphabet (GOOG) & Short eBAY […]...
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1

Gold: Getting There A Little At A Time

Jan 1 1:59pm DollarCollapse.com
One of life’s hardest-to-learn but most necessary lessons is that things usually take a lot longer to work out than you’d like them to. That’s where the sayings “Being too early is the same thing as being wrong” and “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent” come from. A current case […] The post Gold: Getting There A Little At A Time appeared first on DollarCollapse.com.
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5

The Big Picture

Jan 1 11:23am Long Term Value Blog
OK, so the end of 2016 has rolled around, and its time to reflect on ‘The Big Picture’. Where are we? Where are we going? Broad questions but let’s restrict the subject to the equity markets, in particular the US market; What’s really been happening in the US stock market and where is it going in […]...
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Happy New Year 2017!

Jan 1 10:02am Vladimir Ribakov
Hi Everyone, I wish you a very happy new year 2017! May this new year bring you more success, happiness and prosperity. The new year is upon us. This provides an opportunity to look at the successes of the past year back and set new goals for the future. At this time I take a moment to thank you all for the wonderful 2016. A year with a lot of work and effort is behind us. Thanks for following me and for giving me the chance to teach you Forex and share my knowledge. My best wishes to you and The post Happy New Year 2017! appeared first on Vladimir Ribakov.
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4

The Year in VIX and Volatility (2016)

Dec 31 6:00pm VIX and More
The consensus called for a big uptick in volatility in 2016 and while there was a lot of drama, the VIX spikeswere relatively manageable and short-lived.  The VIX opened the year at 22.48 and ended the year at just 14.04.  For the full year, the median VIX was 14.31, while SPX historical volatility for the full year ended up at a mere 13.12.That being said, there were five distinct VIX spikes in the graphic below, listed according to chronology:Fears related to slowing growth in China (January)A plunge in crude oil prices to $26.05/bbl. for WTIC, as investors grappled with the possib...
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The Final 2016 Dogs Of The Dow Performance And the New 2017 Dow Dog Changes

Dec 31 2:20pm The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors
The 20.5\% return for the 2016 Dogs of the Dow exceeded the performance of both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index in 2016. The Dow Dogs returned 20.5\% versus 16.4\% for the Dow Index and 12.0\% for the S&P 500 Index. The best performer of the Dogs was Caterpillar (CAT) up 42.2\% with the weakest performer being Pfizer up only 4.5\%.File (xls)For the coming year, 2017, two of the existing Dow Dogs, Procter & Gamble (PG) and Wal Mart (WMT) will be replaced by Boeing (BA) and Coca-Cola (KO). Boeing has a dividend yield of 3.65\% and Coke has a dividend yield of 3.38\%.
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3

Most Read Articles From Our Blog In 2016

Dec 31 1:17pm The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors
Below is a list of the most read articles on our firm's blog in 2016. Our generally bullish view on the equity market for 2016 proved rewarding for our clients. We stuck to our bullish call in January when the market was down 8\% as noted in the second article link below. When the market began to sell off again into late May, we highlighted our view that equity market headwinds were positioned to subside as noted in the first article link below. Our year-end Investor Letter will be released on Tuesday and will contain additional thoughts on 2016, but more importantly, our outlook for 2017.To ou...
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3

Top Ten Videos December 31

Dec 30 7:01pm DollarCollapse.com
Predictions for the year ahead (spoiler alert: it’s going to be ugly). Inflation up, gold up, stocks down, politics unsettled                      The post Top Ten Videos — December 31 appeared first on DollarCollapse.com.
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My Low Volatility Prediction for 2016: Both Idiocy and Genius

Dec 30 2:07pm VIX and More
A year ago, Steve Sears of Barron’sasked me to pen a guest column for The Striking Price and use the opportunity to opine on how I saw the volatility landscape unfolding in 2016.  Without thinking about it too much, I was fairly certain I was going to devote the column to the many threats that had the potential to spiral out of control during the course of the year, but before I had an opportunity to start translating my thoughts into writing, other pundits started weighing in with their predictions for 2016 and without exception, everyone who ventured a guess on the direction of volati...
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3

SSRN Top Papers of 2016

Dec 30 9:30am The SSRN Blog
1. A Brief Introduction to the Basics of Game Theory by Matthew O. Jackson (Stanford University – Department of Economics) 2. A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation by Meb Faber (Cambria Investment Management) 3. Explaining Nationalist Political Views: The Case of Donald Trump by Jonathan Rothwell (Gallup) and Pablo Diego-Rosell (Gallup) 4. 101 Formulaic Alphas by Zura Kakushadze (Quantigic …...
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PortfolioCharts Golden Butterfly

Dec 30 8:22am AllocateSmartly
This is a test of the “Golden Butterfly”, the homegrown buy & hold strategy from PortfolioCharts.com. PortfolioCharts is to buy & hold what AllocateSmartly is to tactical asset allocation, an independent and unbiased catalog of strategy performance, so when they put their stamp of approval on a portfolio, it deserves consideration. This strategy is similar […] The post PortfolioCharts’ Golden Butterfly appeared first on AllocateSmartly.
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Average VIX and Volatility for Last Fourteen Presidents

Dec 29 2:24pm VIX and More
What kind of VIX is appropriate for the Trump Administration?  For investors in general and volatility traders in particular, this is one of the more interesting questions going into 2017.  Should the VIX be higher or lower in the context of a Trump Administration relative to the Obama Administration.  How much economic policy uncertainty is there in Trumponomics?  How will various geopolitical issues wax and wane in the context of a Trump-Tillerson foreign policy agenda?While these questions are difficult ones, what is not difficult is looking in the rear-view mirror for s...
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3

History Hints Overbought Dow May Be Just Getting Started: Chart

Dec 29 8:07am Vladimir Ribakov
History Hints Overbought Dow May Be Just Getting Started: Chart Who you gonna trust, the technical analysts or the historians? The last time the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied with as much sustained momentum as now was in the 1970s, when its relative strength index had four streaks in overbought territory of 22 trading days or more. Techies consider a cross below the RSI threshold of 70 a bearish signal. Seller beware: The Dow continued rising after three of those previous four.   Source – Bloomberg The post History Hints Overbought Dow May Be Just Getting Started: Chart appea...
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Will a Strong Dollar Doom the Stock Market?

Dec 29 4:00am Trading Tips
Several unexpected events have happened since the election of Donald Trump as President. Among the most surprising for investors has been the fact that the dollar has become significantly stronger. Below is a chart of the US Dollar Index, a trade-weighted index that consists mostly of the euro and yen given the importance of trade […]...
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Brexit and UK law in 2017 Brexit Summary Part 2

Dec 29 3:41am Vladimir Ribakov
It doesn’t take a crystal ball to tell us that the UK’s exit from the European Union is going to dominate the political and commercial landscape next year and possibly for many years after 2017. Predicting just what will happen next is not quite so easy. December 2016 Looking back at our predictions for 2016, there is something of an omission. Brexit warranted only a paragraph in the context of our predictions for data protection and cyber security. Given that Nigel Farage conceded defeat just before the EU Referendum results started to come in, not to mention the frozen looks The...
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Hoping for a Regulatory Miracle

Dec 28 11:20pm Above the Market
The newest issue of Research magazine in out and my column is now available online. I hope you’ll read the excerpt below and then give the entire piece, as well as the full issue, a careful read. In a variety … Continue reading →...
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4

Three Mini-Bubbles Are Bursting

Dec 28 2:55pm DollarCollapse.com
The world has gotten so used to ultra-low interest rates that even economists and money managers seem to be shocked by what happens when rates start creeping back towards normal levels. Some of the mini-bubbles that formed in an essentially free-money environment are now starting to leak. Notably: US Housing While the action in this […] The post Three Mini-Bubbles Are Bursting appeared first on DollarCollapse.com.
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3

Recent Returns Remain Far Below the Longer Term Average

Dec 28 2:53pm The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors
It wasn't until 2013 that the S&P 500 Index broke out 17 year time frame the annualized return (price only) for the S&P 500 Index is approximately 2.59\%.The low single digit return noted above is far below the return the market generated in the 20 year period that began in 1980 and ran up to the technology bubble in 2000. The annualized price only return for this 20 year period equaled 13.9\%.In spite of the strong equity market return since the financial crisis and more so since the election, the 2+\% return is far below the near 10\% annualized return the S&P 500 Index has generated...
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1

U-S-A, U-S-A!

Dec 28 12:31pm Cambria Investment Management
Below is a fun little chart on investing trends. We outlined a simple valuation approach to stocks in our old book Global Value.  It simply picked a basket of the cheapest 25\% of country stock markets as measured by long-term valuations, and rebalanced yearly.  Despite large historical performance, a global value approach only outperforms the [...]...
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Setting goals and making plans - Adam H Grimes

Dec 27 3:23pm Adam Grimes
In the post-holiday quiet, I tweeted yesterday inviting my followers to think about the one thing they could do in the coming year to improve trading results. I hoped to provoke some thought, and knew that the answer you come up with probably is unique to you—some of the best ideas will never be shared, […] The post Setting goals and making plans appeared first on Adam H Grimes. Related posts: About those small and mid caps… February update: meditation, support and resistance, and coding Reader question: can’t hold on to winners?...
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1

Gold and Silver Outlook for December 27-30

Dec 27 1:33pm Trading NRG
With the year winding down as we are heading towards the last week of 2016, the markets are likely to demonstrate – as they did last week – low volatility and liquidity. For precious metals, this could be a chance…Read more →...
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Market Lab Report - After the Open 12/27/16

Dec 27 9:37am Virtue of Selfish Investing Market Lab Reports and Newsletters
Major averages rose Friday on lower holiday volume as Dow 20,000 remains elusive. As we move into the final trading week of the year, we might expect another relatively quiet week. We would note that over the past three years the movement in the final week has set a contrarian tone for what happens in the New Year. Last year the indexes rallied into the second-to-last day of the year before breaking down hard in January, resulting in a correction that lasted into February. This was due to the economic overhang in China which worsened after the New Year. In December 2014 the market again rallie...
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Global debt hits all-time high of $152 trillion as IMF warns of world-wide economic stagnation

Dec 27 4:36am Vladimir Ribakov
  Global debt has hit a record high of $152 trillion, weighing down economic growth and adding to risks that recovery could turn into stagnation or even recession, the International Monetary Fund has warned. In a worst-case scenario the IMF also fears that a wave of populist politics across the US and Europe could send globalisation into reverse with protectionist policies hitting international trade, investment and migration, sending the world plunging into a prolonged period of stagnation. The warning came after the IMF cut its growth forecasts for a series of countries around the worl...
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What Will Move Markets in 2017 MM #128

Dec 27 4:05am Trading NRG
What will 2017 look like? We discuss monetary policy, politics and markets throughout the year. Some of the big changes seen in 2016 will spillover to 2017 with new challenges joining in. What’s next for currencies, stocks and commodities? We…Read more →...
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[Premium] JCs Playbook To Profit in Q1

Dec 26 12:23pm All Star Charts
The year 2016 is now in the books. As market participants, it is our job to prepare for the coming quarter. We don’t care much for year end targets. Those are just a marketing gimmick for wall street sell side firms. The media irresponsibly parades these historically wrong sell side analysts around on the tv […] The post [Premium] JC’s Playbook To Profit in Q1 appeared first on All Star Charts.
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