What This Tech Stock’s Saying About the Stock Market

From Profit Confidential
February 21, 2013 - 5:54am
We all know that corporate earnings are managed, but in a sense, it works, because an investor is better off having some ballpark earnings outlook over nothing. Earnings estimates for mature, large-cap businesses are typically more accurate over traditional growth companies, and you can use these estimates for your buy and sell decisions on the stock market. One company that has a long history of providing decent guidance is Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (NASDAQ/ADP) out of Roseland, NJ. Automatic Data Processing (ADP) is a payroll processing and human resources outsourcing firm that is actually considered a technology stock. The company belongs to the NASDAQ 100 index, and I view it as a great barometer on the stock market, investor sentiment, and employment. On the stock market, ADP has been doing great for years, though it did get ahead of itself in the late 1990s, as did so many other stocks. The “overperformance” produced underperformance in the 10 years following 2001; but normalized stock market long-term returns from this business have been good, especially with the addition of dividends. Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com In its latest earnings report for the sec...

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